Alabama · Senate · State Legislature

The Alabama Senate Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Alabama Senate.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 8.3 of 3580% range 7–9

D 835 seats · 18 for a majorityR 27

PVIR+15

Seats up in 202635

Chamber size35

Majority threshold18

District by district

35 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band

Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct

Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

		Democrat	Republican
2	Rudolph Valentino Drake — 50 in 100	Rudolph Valentino Drake	John Roberts	D+0.0
28	Billy Beasley — 66 in 100	Billy Beasley	Brent Comer	D+3.9
23	Robert Stewart — 71 in 100	Robert Stewart	Thayer “Bear” Havard Spencer	D+5.5
7	Sam Givhan — 90 in 100	Jared Sluss	Sam Givhan	R+12.3
24	Bobby Singleton — 96 in 100	Bobby Singleton	—	D+17.2
16	J.T. "Jabo" Waggoner — >99 in 100	Spencer Stone	J.T. "Jabo" Waggoner	R+25.9
27	Jay Hovey — >99 in 100	—	Jay Hovey	R+28.8
25	Republican — >99 in 100	Kirk Hatcher	—	R+29.1
19	Merika Coleman — >99 in 100	Merika Coleman	—	D+30.3
21	Gerald Allen — >99 in 100	—	Gerald Allen	R+31.5