This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the Arizona House.
30 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | None until the field is set | Sandy Zalecki | Selina Bliss · Quang Huu Nguyen · Shawn Dell Wildman |
| 2 | None until the field is set | Stephanie Simacek | Justin Wilmeth |
| 3 | None until the field is set | Julie Gable · Richard "Rick" Robert Spargo | George Khalaf · Thomas M. , II Walsh · Cody Reim · Jay Schlum |
| 4 | None until the field is set | Tammy Caputi · Karen Gresham | Pamela Carter · Sandra Christensen · Matt Gress |
| 5 | None until the field is set | Sarah Liguori · Aaron Márquez | — |
| 6 | None until the field is set | Angela "Walker" Maloney · Mae Peshlakai · Ian Teller | — |
| 7 | None until the field is set | Samuel "Sam" Martin | Walter "Walt" Blackman · Andrew Costanzo · David, Sr. Cook · Barby Ingle |
| 8 | None until the field is set | Janeen Connolly · Brian Garcia · Claudia Kline | Donald Hawker |
| 9 | None until the field is set | Lorena Austin · Jacob D. Martinez | Bradley D. Bettencourt |
| 10 | None until the field is set | Brian Calaway · Helen Hunter | Ciara Anderson · Justin Olson · James Rogers · David Scott (O) |