This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the Arkansas House.
100 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Andrew Cade Eberly — 50 in 100 | Andrew Cade Eberly | Representative Karilyn Brown | |
| 70 | Alex Holladay — 52 in 100 | Alex Holladay | Bo Renshaw | |
| 9 | Representative Diana Gonzales Worthen — 55 in 100 | Representative Diana Gonzales Worthen | Matt Goff | |
| 71 | Republican — 55 in 100 | Cassandra Mayes | Stephen Bright | |
| 22 | Republican — 58 in 100 | State Representative David Whitaker | — | |
| 62 | Dexter R. Miller — 59 in 100 | Dexter R. Miller | Representative Mark D. McElroy | |
| 56 | Mark Brannan — 66 in 100 | State Representative Steve Magie | Mark Brannan | |
| 35 | Robert Thorne, Jr. — 73 in 100 | Audrey P. Willis | Robert Thorne, Jr. | |
| 19 | Representative Steve Unger — 76 in 100 | Jamie Atkinson | Representative Steve Unger | |
| 34 | State Representative Joey L. Carr — 82 in 100 | Michael Middlebrook | State Representative Joey L. Carr |