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The Colorado Senate Safe D

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Democrats are favored to hold control of the Colorado Senate.

Chance of D control98 in 100Expected Democratic seats 23.0 of 3580% range 2026
D 2335 seatsR 12
PVID+6
Seats up in 202617
Chamber size35
District by district

35 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe Not on the 2026 ballot (staggered term)

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
30Modeled D-vs-RKevin Leung — 60 in 100Kevin LeungJohn CarsonD+2.5
21Modeled D-vs-RDemocratic — 65 in 100Adrienne Benavidez · Alex RyckmanFrederick Alfred JrD+3.8
11Modeled D-vs-RTony Exum Sr — 67 in 100Tony Exum SrLevon StilsonD+4.4
3Modeled D-vs-RDana Charles — 70 in 100Aaron Gutierrez · Taylor VossDana CharlesR+5.3
24Modeled D-vs-RKyle Mullica — 76 in 100Kyle MullicaKevin AllenD+6.9
15Modeled D-vs-RJanice Marchman — 79 in 100Janice MarchmanRob WoodwardD+8.0
8Modeled D-vs-RDylan Roberts — 86 in 100Dylan RobertsCorey MarshallD+10.5
27Modeled D-vs-RTom Sullivan — 89 in 100Tom SullivanDarryl Gibbs · Danielle LammonD+12.3
9Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 94 in 100William Delano Moses IIITerri Carver · Lynda Zamora WilsonR+15.0
4Modeled D-vs-RTeddy Collins — 96 in 100Justin KurthTeddy CollinsR+17.6