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The Georgia Senate Likely R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Georgia Senate.

Chance of R control84 in 100Expected Democratic seats 24.9 of 5680% range 2325
D 2356 seats · 29 for a majorityR 33
PVIR+1
Seats up in 202656
Chamber size56
Majority threshold29
District by district

56 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
48Shawn Still — 68 in 100Nathan Hombroek · Laura MurvartianShawn StillR+4.7
37Ed Setzler — 80 in 100Darcy Castro · Zachary NevilleEd SetzlerR+8.4
42Bret A. Dunn — 89 in 100Eric W. Lee, Sr.Bret A. DunnR+11.9
56John Albers — 90 in 100Patrick ThompsonJohn AlbersR+12.5
32Kay Kirkpatrick — 91 in 100Michael HettigKay KirkpatrickR+13.1
1Ben Watson — 92 in 100Corey Foreman · Barbara GoobyBen WatsonR+13.7
12Democratic — 92 in 100Edward Brown · Corey B. Morgan · Tracy TaylorD+13.9
45Clint Dixon — 93 in 100Scott TippettsClint DixonR+14.3
7Democratic — 93 in 100Astrid S. Ross · Adrienne WhiteAizaz Shahbaz Shaikh · Rahul Garabadu (O) · Ruwa Romman (O)D+14.5
23Max Burns — 97 in 100Shayna Boston · Satoria "Tony" RaginMax BurnsR+18.1
The Race Feed · 2 items across Georgia races →