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The Indiana House Likely R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Indiana House.

Chance of R control98 in 100Expected Democratic seats 30.5 of 10080% range 2533
D 30100 seats · 51 for a majorityR 70
PVIR+9
Seats up in 2026100
Chamber size100
Majority threshold51
District by district

100 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
71Republican — 51 in 100Wendy Dant ChesserD.M. Bagshaw · James R. McClure, Jr.R+0.3
39Republican — 51 in 100Lindsay GramlichDanny LopezR+0.4
62Amy Huffman Oliver — 54 in 100Amy Huffman OliverDave HallD+1.0
9Randy Novak — 57 in 100Randy NovakChris ClevelandD+1.7
25Becky Cash — 62 in 100Tiffany StonerBecky CashR+3.0
34Sara Gullion — 65 in 100Sara GullionRichard M. (Rich) Ivy · Randall L. McCallisterD+3.9
12Mike Andrade — 66 in 100Mike AndradeD+3.9
10Ted Uzelac — 71 in 100Charles Chuck MoseleyTed UzelacR+5.4
89Mitch Gore — 74 in 100Mitch Gore · Donald Weingarten (O)D+6.5
27Sheila J. Klinker — 77 in 100Sheila J. KlinkerOscar Alvarez · Tracy BrownD+7.2