← Back to the Chamber Board
Indiana · Senate · State Legislature

The Indiana Senate Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Indiana Senate.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 10.2 of 5080% range 912
D 1050 seatsR 40
PVIR+9
Seats up in 202625
Chamber size50
District by district

50 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe Not on the 2026 ballot (staggered term)

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
4Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 57 in 100Rodney PolJohannes Poulard · Nate UldricksR+1.7
31Modeled D-vs-RDemocratic — 61 in 100Andrew J. Dezelan · Kerry J Forestal · Lasima O. Packett · Catherine TorzewskiJuanita Albright · Tiffanie Ditlevson · Travis Hankins · Jan Kepley KeeferD+2.7
1Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 77 in 100Scott HouldiesonDaniel (Dan) Dernulc · Nader Liddawi · Trevor G. De VriesR+7.3
11Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 92 in 100Gabrianna GratzolLinda Rogers · Brian S. SchmutzlerR+14.0
22Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 93 in 100Natasha Baker · Marlena EdmondsonRon Alting · Richard BagsbyR+14.6
29Modeled D-vs-RDemocratic — 93 in 100David W Greene, Sr · Demetrice Hicks · Kristina Moorhead · Kevin ShortMike Delph · V. Roni Ford · John RuckelshausD+14.6
15Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 96 in 100Chloe Andis · Julie McGillLiz Brown · Darren VogtR+17.1
45Modeled D-vs-RChris Garten — 98 in 100Nick MarshallChris Garten · Larry Mahaney (O)R+19.7
49Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 99 in 100Cindi ClaytonBrandi Durham Pugh · Jim TomesR+22.1
26Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 99 in 100Andrew DaleScott A. Alexander · Katherine (Kat) Nunley-KritschR+23.3