Maine · House · State Legislature

The Maine House Lean D

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Democrats are favored to hold control of the Maine House.

Chance of D control79 in 100Expected Democratic seats 84.2 of 15180% range 74–90

D 76149 seats · 76 for a majorityR 73

PVID+4

Seats up in 2026151

Chamber size151

Majority threshold76

District by district

151 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band

Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct

Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

		Democrat	Republican
17	Ronald B. Russell — 50 in 100	Ronald B. Russell	Steven Matthew Bishop	D+0.0
83	Republican — 53 in 100	Timothy J. Becker	Marygrace Caroline Cimino	R+0.7
81	Republican — 55 in 100	Christopher A. Easton	Peter C. Wood	R+1.2
143	Republican — 55 in 100	John R. Henkelman	Melissa A. Simpson	R+1.2
142	Republican — 55 in 100	Ayn M. Hanselmann	Domingo E. Torres	R+1.2
90	Republican — 55 in 100	Pamela B. Hart	James W. Sorcek	R+1.3
20	Republican — 55 in 100	Dani O'Halloran	Patrick A. Jude	R+1.3
47	Republican — 57 in 100	Wayne K. Farrin	Chester B. Grover III	R+1.7
86	Republican — 58 in 100	Abigail N. Geer	Rolf A. Olsen Jr.	R+1.9
13	Russell P. White — 60 in 100	Michael Hobart Cunningham II	Russell P. White	R+2.5

The Race Feed · 8 items across Maine races →