This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Call the Map does not publish a binary control probability for the Nevada Senate. The current district rows remain available below, with each publishable, structural, and unsettled seat labeled in its own claim class.
The district-by-district results for this chamber don't yet roll up into a chamber-wide total the model will stand behind, so no control probability is published. The seat estimate below is still the model's.
21 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Modeled D-vs-R | Julie Pazina — 52 in 100 | Julie Pazina | Rafael Arroyo-Montalvo | |
| 8 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 59 in 100 | Marilyn Dondero Loop | Lazaro Chavez · George Eldridge Harris · Steven Samuel Cohen (O) · Jamie S. Miller (O) · Robert Morris (O) | |
| 9 | Modeled D-vs-R | Melanie Scheible — 61 in 100 | Melanie Scheible | Maria Thompson | |
| 21 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 82 in 100 | James Ohrenschall · Junior Romero | Alejandro Rojas | |
| 10 | Modeled D-vs-R | Fabian Donate — 85 in 100 | Fabian Donate | — | |
| 16 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 86 in 100 | Chrystal Roll | Lisa Krasner · Monica J Stabbert | |
| 13 | Modeled D-vs-R | Richard Daly — 98 in 100 | Richard Daly | Matthew Robert Buehler · Charlene Young (O) | |
| 20 | Modeled D-vs-R | Danielle Gallant — 99 in 100 | Calvin Sandoval | Danielle Gallant | |
| 14 | Modeled D-vs-R | Ira D Hansen — 99 in 100 | — | Ira D Hansen | |
| 2 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — >99 in 100 | Isaac Barron · Edgar R. Flores | — |