This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Call the Map does not publish a binary control probability for the New Hampshire House. The current district rows remain available below, with each publishable, structural, and unsettled seat labeled in its own claim class.
The district-by-district results for this chamber don't yet roll up into a chamber-wide total the model will stand behind, so no control probability is published. The seat estimate below is still the model's.
203 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 719 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 58 in 100 | Wendy Larson | Susan M. Porcelli | |
| 209 | Modeled D-vs-R | Jim Gruber — 60 in 100 | Jim Gruber | Rich Nalevanko | |
| 407 | Modeled D-vs-R | Janet Marie Lucas — 60 in 100 | Janet Marie Lucas | Jon A. Gablinske | |
| 706 | Modeled D-vs-R | Eric S. Turer — 60 in 100 | Eric S. Turer | Allen Cook | |
| 809 | Modeled D-vs-R | Robert Qua — 64 in 100 | Nevin Dexter | Robert Qua | |
| 806 | Modeled D-vs-R | Denise DeDe-Poulin — 64 in 100 | Paige C. Dunleavy · Daniel Fitzpatrick | Denise DeDe-Poulin | |
| 807 | Modeled D-vs-R | Eric Bourgeois — 64 in 100 | John H. Larochelle | Eric Bourgeois | |
| 805 | Modeled D-vs-R | Jenny Wilson — 64 in 100 | — | Jenny Wilson | |
| 808 | Modeled D-vs-R | David Walker — 64 in 100 | Ty Wyman | David Walker | |
| 213 | Modeled D-vs-R | Tom Ahlborn-Hsu — 65 in 100 | Tom Ahlborn-Hsu | Matthew Santonastaso |