New Hampshire · Senate · State Legislature

The New Hampshire Senate Lean R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

No party has a majority chance of controlling the New Hampshire Senate. Democrats have the largest modeled share.

Chance of D control49 in 100Expected Democratic seats 12.6 of 2480% range 9–15

D 824 seats · 13 for a majorityR 16

PVID+2

Seats up in 202624

Chamber size24

Majority threshold13

District by district

24 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band

Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct

Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

		Democrat	Republican
9	Republican — 54 in 100	Matthew McLaughlin	Denise Ricciardi	R+0.9
12	Carryl L. Roy — 61 in 100	Carryl L. Roy	Kevin Avard	D+2.7
3	Mark McConkey — 68 in 100	Bobbi Boudman	Mark McConkey	R+4.6
18	Leonard Bell — 68 in 100	Leonard Bell	Victoria Sullivan	D+4.6
2	Timothy P. Lang — 70 in 100	Kurt Webber	Timothy P. Lang	R+5.2
11	Shannon E. Chandley — 73 in 100	Shannon E. Chandley	Tim McGough	D+6.1
7	Daniel E. Innis — 76 in 100	Rebecca Harned	Daniel E. Innis	R+6.9
20	Democratic — 78 in 100	Pat T. Long · Matthew Ping	Patrick Binder	D+7.7
16	Republican — 79 in 100	Dave DePuy · Dian McCarthy	Anthony Clements · Keith Murphy	R+7.9
14	Sharon M. Carson — 81 in 100	Timothy T. Wyatt	Sharon M. Carson	R+8.8