This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Democrats are favored to hold control of the New York Senate.
63 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | John C. Liu — 52 in 100 | John C. Liu | — | |
| 1 | Republican — 56 in 100 | E. Christopher Murray | — · Anthony H. Palumbo (O) | |
| 43 | Devin R. Lander — 63 in 100 | Devin R. Lander | — · Jake Ashby (O) | |
| 15 | Democratic — 63 in 100 | Joseph P. Addabbo Jr. · Albert Baldeo | — · Danniel Maio (O) | |
| 23 | Republican — 64 in 100 | Omar Mohamad · Jessica Scarcella-Spanton | — · Ruslan Shamal (O) | |
| 9 | Republican — 66 in 100 | Lisa Malkie Vider | — · Patricia M. Canzoneri-Fitzpatrick (O) | |
| 39 | Democratic — 66 in 100 | Lisa Kaul · Gay Lee · Evan R. Menist | — · Robert G. Rolison (O) | |
| 7 | Republican — 66 in 100 | Rory I. Lancman | — · Jacob Ryan Blumencranz (O) | |
| 50 | Christopher J. Ryan — 67 in 100 | Christopher J. Ryan | — · James Corl (O) | |
| 45 | Republican — 74 in 100 | Melissa T. Seale | — · Daniel G. Stec (O) |