This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the North Carolina House.
120 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Republican — 50 in 100 | Harris Walker · Lorenza M. Wilkins | Allen Chesser · Nick Taylor (O) | |
| 32 | Democratic — 52 in 100 | Melissa Elliott · Curtis McRae · Curtis McRae - WITHDRAWN | Pamela M. Ayscue · Frank Sossamon | |
| 105 | Ken McCool — 53 in 100 | Ken McCool | Tricia Ann Cotham · Kelly VanHorn | |
| 48 | Garland E. Pierce — 54 in 100 | Garland E. Pierce | Ralph Carter · Kirk Lowery | |
| 24 | Republican — 57 in 100 | Dante Pittman | Blake Boykin | |
| 35 | Republican — 58 in 100 | Evonne S. Hopkins | Michele Joyner-Dinwiddie · Mike Schietzelt | |
| 98 | Beth Helfrich — 60 in 100 | Beth Helfrich | John Rhodes | |
| 115 | Anthony J. Penland — 62 in 100 | Lindsey Prather | Anthony J. Penland | |
| 37 | Erin Pare — 62 in 100 | Ralph Clements · Winn Decker · Marcus Gadson | Erin Pare | |
| 62 | John M. Blust — 73 in 100 | Shelly Headen | John M. Blust |