This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the North Carolina Senate.
50 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Republican — 52 in 100 | Haseeb Fatmi | Cheryl Caulfield · Chris Stock · Brad Hessel (O) | |
| 11 | Lisa Stone Barnes — 64 in 100 | James D. Gailliard | Lisa Stone Barnes · Gavin Bell (O) | |
| 13 | Lisa Grafstein — 69 in 100 | Lisa Grafstein | Robert van Brederode | |
| 7 | Michael Lee — 72 in 100 | Jessica Bichler | Michael Lee | |
| 42 | Mrs. Woodson Bradley — 75 in 100 | Mrs. Woodson Bradley | Stacie McGinn | |
| 34 | Republican — 80 in 100 | April Cook | Kevin Crutchfield · Chris Measmer | |
| 5 | Kandie D. Smith — 84 in 100 | Kandie D. Smith | Henry Hostetler · Angelene Mitchell | |
| 4 | Buck Newton — 85 in 100 | Jessica (Jess) Rivera | Buck Newton | |
| 1 | Republican — 94 in 100 | Melissa Zehner | Dave Forsythe · Cole Johnson · Jay Lane · Jerry Tillett | |
| 24 | Danny Earl Britt, Jr. — 94 in 100 | Catina Hamm | Danny Earl Britt, Jr. |