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North Dakota · House · State Legislature

The North Dakota House Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the North Dakota House.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 11.0 of 9480% range 220
D 1194 seatsR 83
PVIR+18
Seats up in 202648
Chamber size94
District by district

48 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
No forecast — field unsettled or outside the D-vs-R model Not on the 2026 ballot (staggered term)

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
1Field not settledNone until the field is setAlex Johnson · Steve ThoringLaurie Garbel · David Richter
2Not on the 2026 ballotNot on the 2026 ballot
3Field not settledNone until the field is setTara Hiatt · Natalie MclaughlinBlaine DesLauriers · Crystal Hendrickson · Jeff Hoverson · Timothy Mihalick
5Field not settledNone until the field is setKyle Erickson · Zach RaknerudRoger Brabandt · Scott Louser
6Not on the 2026 ballotNot on the 2026 ballot
7Field not settledNone until the field is setTiffany Williams-Rice · Jason ThomsGaylynn Becker · Rick Becker · Steve Sauter · Greg Vetter
8Not on the 2026 ballotNot on the 2026 ballot
9Field not settledNone until the field is setCollette Brown · Duane Poitra
10Not on the 2026 ballotNot on the 2026 ballot
11Field not settledNone until the field is setAnastassiya (Stass) Andrianova · Liz Conmy