This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the North Dakota Senate.
47 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | Modeled D-vs-R | Jeff Barta — 76 in 100 | Mary K Adams | Jeff Barta | |
| 41 | Modeled D-vs-R | Kyle Davison — 81 in 100 | Nyamal Dei | Kyle Davison | |
| 13 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 88 in 100 | Landis Larson | Judy Lee · Philip Sallberg | |
| 11 | Modeled D-vs-R | Tim Mathern — 89 in 100 | Tim Mathern | Christine O'Riley | |
| 21 | Modeled D-vs-R | Mary Schneider — 90 in 100 | Mary Schneider | — | |
| 45 | Modeled D-vs-R | Ronald Sorvaag — 92 in 100 | Dan Mitchell | Ronald Sorvaag | |
| 9 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 96 in 100 | Jayme Davis · Richard Marcellais | — | |
| 17 | Modeled D-vs-R | Jonathan Sickler — 97 in 100 | Katie Benton | Jonathan Sickler | |
| 27 | Modeled D-vs-R | Kristin Roers — 98 in 100 | — | Kristin Roers | |
| 35 | Modeled D-vs-R | Sean Cleary — >99 in 100 | Dale Pittman | Sean Cleary |