This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to take control of the Pennsylvania House.
203 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 | Republican — 51 in 100 | Brian Munroe | Michael J. Murphy | |
| 172 | Republican — 53 in 100 | Sean Dougherty | Wallace J. Quinlan | |
| 88 | Republican — 54 in 100 | Sara M. Agerton | Jeff Clark · Savannah Martin | |
| 137 | Republican — 54 in 100 | Jeffrey M. Warren | Joe Emrick | |
| 121 | Republican — 54 in 100 | JESSICA MCCLAY · MICHAEL J STADULIS | Michael Harostock III · MIKE HAROSTOCK | |
| 112 | Kyle Mullins — 54 in 100 | Kyle Mullins | Joseph Sabia Jr. | |
| 3 | Ryan Bizzarro — 58 in 100 | Ryan Bizzarro | Donna Reese | |
| 174 | Ed Neilson — 63 in 100 | Ed Neilson | — | |
| 38 | John Inglis — 63 in 100 | John Inglis | Stone Sobieralski[a] | |
| 18 | Kathleen Tomlinson — 63 in 100 | Bryan F. Allen Jr. | Kathleen Tomlinson |