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South Carolina · House · State Legislature

The South Carolina House Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the South Carolina House.

Chance of R control97 in 100Expected Democratic seats 36.9 of 12480% range 29–39
D 36124 seats · 63 for a majorityR 88
PVIR+8
Seats up in 2026124
Chamber size124
Majority threshold63
District by district

124 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
116Republican — 53 in 100Radia Baxter · David Bell · Clay MiddletonJames E TeepleR+0.6
103Republican — 53 in 100Carl Anderson · Wendell M Padgett—R+0.7
91Republican — 54 in 100Lonnie HoseyDaniel Alexander · Tyler MorganR+1.1
82Republican — 54 in 100William Bill ClyburnSuzy SpurgeonR+1.1
54Democratic — 55 in 100Jason Luck · Betty Jo Quick—D+1.4
110Tom Hartnett — 62 in 100KJ AtwoodTom HartnettR+3.0
55Republican — 64 in 100Jackie Hayes—R+3.5
12Daniel Gibson — 67 in 100Jumelle BrooksDaniel GibsonR+4.2
62Robert Williams — 67 in 100Robert Williams—D+4.3
122Bill Hager — 67 in 100Maja Moore · Korey WilliamsBill HagerR+4.3
The Race Feed · 13 items across South Carolina races →