This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the South Dakota House.
37 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28A | Modeled D-vs-R | Jana Hunt — 85 in 100 | Carl J. Petersen | Jana Hunt | |
| 26A | Modeled D-vs-R | Eric E. Emery — >99 in 100 | Eric E. Emery | Ron Frederick | |
| 26B | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — >99 in 100 | Lewis J. GrassRope | Angi Hanzlik · Will Mahnke | |
| 28B | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — >99 in 100 | — | Travis Ismay · Lawrence (Larry) Schmaltz | |
| 1 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | Courtney Gale Enfield | Nick Fosness · Daniel Kjos · Logan Manhart · Keith Miller | — |
| 2 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | Blake Rife | Dawn Hill · Brandon Lane · Adam Long · Manuel Luschas | — |
| 3 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | Erin Ronayne Rudner | Timothy Hanigan · Al Novstrup · Spencer Sommers · Kaleb Weis | — |
| 4 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | Emelia Enquist | Fred Deutsch · Gary William Hudiburgh III · Dylan C Jordan · Ryan Kohl · Kent Roe | — |
| 5 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | — | Byron I. Callies · Matt Roby | — |
| 6 | Field not settled | None until the field is set | Garret M Campbell · Austin Wolf | Tim Czmowski · Ned Horsted · Jerry Jongeling · Elliott Neff | — |