This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the Tennessee House.
99 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 51 in 100 | Ronnie L. Glynn | Chris Lanier | |
| 59 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 61 in 100 | Rick Ewing · Angie Lawless · Mark Proctor · Beth West | Bill Hancock | |
| 80 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 64 in 100 | Shelia L. Godwin · Andrea Bond Johnson · Bethany N Miller | Julian A. McTizic | |
| 50 | Modeled D-vs-R | Bo Mitchell — 68 in 100 | Bo Mitchell | — | |
| 83 | Modeled D-vs-R | Mark White — 73 in 100 | Margaret Price | Mark White | |
| 97 | Modeled D-vs-R | Jesse Huseth — 76 in 100 | Jesse Huseth | John Gillespie | |
| 18 | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 83 in 100 | Bryan Goldberg | Elaine Davis · Brent N. Jones · Elliott Schuchardt | |
| 60 | Modeled D-vs-R | Shaundelle Brooks — 85 in 100 | Shaundelle Brooks | Eva Angelina Romero | |
| 75 | Modeled D-vs-R | Michael Lankford — 91 in 100 | Allie Phillips | Michael Lankford | |
| 90 | Modeled D-vs-R | Gloria Johnson — 92 in 100 | Gloria Johnson | — |