This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Republicans are favored to hold control of the Utah House.
75 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | MATT MACPHERSON — 55 in 100 | MICHAEL E FINCH | MATT MACPHERSON · TRAVIS ALICO (O) | |
| 37 | ASHLEE MATTHEWS — 60 in 100 | ASHLEE MATTHEWS | CASEY SAXTON | |
| 42 | IVA WILLIAMS — 61 in 100 | IVA WILLIAMS | CLINT OKERLUND | |
| 10 | JIM ALVEY — 62 in 100 | ROSEMARY T LESSER | JIM ALVEY | |
| 30 | JAKE FITISEMANU — 62 in 100 | JAKE FITISEMANU | DAVE PARKE | |
| 36 | JIM DUNNIGAN — 65 in 100 | — | JIM DUNNIGAN | |
| 39 | KEN IVORY — 70 in 100 | DREW HOWELLS | KEN IVORY | |
| 43 | OFA MATAGI — 72 in 100 | OFA MATAGI | STEVE ELIASON | |
| 27 | ANTHONY LOUBET — 76 in 100 | LIZ OATES | ANTHONY LOUBET · JEFFREY MARSHALL (O) | |
| 20 | MELISSA BALLARD — 78 in 100 | PHIL GRAVES | MELISSA BALLARD |