This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →
Call the Map does not publish a binary control probability for the Vermont House. The current district rows remain available below, with each publishable, structural, and unsettled seat labeled in its own claim class.
The district-by-district results for this chamber don't yet roll up into a chamber-wide total the model will stand behind, so no control probability is published. The seat estimate below is still the model's.
109 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.
Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.
| Democrat | Republican | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F-7 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 53 in 100 | — | Allen "Penny" Demar | |
| E-C | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 53 in 100 | — | John Kascenska | |
| ORC | Modeled D-vs-R | Republican — 54 in 100 | James Merriam · Aiden Boyd Otterman | Tom Otterman | |
| O-3 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 55 in 100 | — | Kenneth L. Wells | |
| OR1 | Modeled D-vs-R | Democratic — 56 in 100 | — | Michael "Mike" Tagliavia | |
| R-8 | Modeled D-vs-R | Genevieve K. Duchesneau — 60 in 100 | Genevieve K. Duchesneau | Alicia Malay | |
| R-3 | Modeled D-vs-R | Chris Brown — 64 in 100 | — | Chris Brown | |
| R-1 | Modeled D-vs-R | Patricia A. Mccoy — 64 in 100 | — | Patricia A. Mccoy | |
| OR3 | Modeled D-vs-R | Fran Covey — 65 in 100 | — | Fran Covey | |
| CA1 | Modeled D-vs-R | David Tucker — 76 in 100 | David Tucker | Debra "Debbie" Powers |