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Washington · House · State Legislature

The Washington House Safe D

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Democrats are favored to hold control of the Washington House.

Chance of D control98 in 100Expected Democratic seats 67.8 of 9880% range 63–72
D 5998 seats · 50 for a majorityR 39
PVID+10
Seats up in 202698
Chamber size98
Majority threshold50
District by district

98 seats across 49 districts — each district elects Position 1 and Position 2 on the same lines. Hover a district for its seats; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
35 · Pos. 1Democratic — 53 in 100Shaena Garberich · Jim PiersonDan GriffeyD+0.7
35 · Pos. 2Maria Littlesun — 53 in 100Maria LittlesunTravis CoutureD+0.7
14 · Pos. 1Chelsea Dimas — 54 in 100Chelsea DimasGloria Mendoza · William Chichenoff (O)D+1.0
14 · Pos. 2Democratic — 54 in 100Ezequiel Morfin · Tony G SandovalDeb ManjarrezD+1.0
25 · Pos. 1Democratic — 55 in 100David Berg · Nick OlooMichael KeatonD+1.3
25 · Pos. 2Jenn Marie Strickling — 55 in 100Jenn Marie StricklingRen Fanony · Cyndy JacobsenD+1.3
12 · Pos. 1Stacy Willoughby — 58 in 100Stacy WilloughbyBrian BurnettD+2.1
12 · Pos. 2Maggie Adams — 58 in 100Maggie AdamsAdam James · Mike SteeleD+2.1
18 · Pos. 1Randi L. Knott — 60 in 100Randi L. KnottStephanie McClintockD+2.4
18 · Pos. 2Deken Letinich — 60 in 100Deken LetinichJohn LeyD+2.4