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Wyoming · Senate · State Legislature

The Wyoming Senate Safe R

This is one of our least certain forecasts — state-legislative races have almost no district polling and many of these maps were redrawn. Read the range, not the midpoint. How this is modeled →

Forecast · candidate-independent chamber model

Republicans are favored to hold control of the Wyoming Senate.

Chance of R control>99 in 100Expected Democratic seats 2.0 of 3180% range 05
D 231 seatsR 29
PVIR+23
Seats up in 202616
Chamber size31
District by district

31 seats, one per district. Hover a district for its seat; the table below opens with the closest races and carries the exact values.

Rating band
Striped = seat changes partyModeled seats use forecast paint; legal carries and terrain remain explicitly distinct
Forecast margin — pale at Even, deep at safe Not on the 2026 ballot (staggered term)

Census Bureau 2025 1:500,000 cartographic boundaries — simplified geometry for thematic mapping, not legal district lines.

DemocratRepublican
25Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — 80 in 100Cale Case · Lisa WilsonR+8.3
9Modeled D-vs-RChris Rothfuss — 95 in 100Chris RothfussD+16.3
7Modeled D-vs-RMark Rinne — 97 in 100Jim LeeMark RinneR+18.7
31Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — >99 in 100Shifa Hamid P. O. Box 2986Evie Brennan · Daniel J. SinghR+34.5
17Modeled D-vs-RMike Gierau — >99 in 100Mike GierauD+37.2
5Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — >99 in 100Ted HanlonMeagan Herrington · Ben Hornok · Ronald D. McCleary · Lauren SchoenfeldR+41.7
27Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — >99 in 100Jim Corkery · Kevin Helling · Marcia NeumillerR+45.0
21Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — >99 in 100Melissa Butcher · Ken PendergraftR+48.5
29Modeled D-vs-RRepublican — >99 in 100Lisa Engebretsen · Bob IdeR+48.7
13Modeled D-vs-RStacy Jones — >99 in 100Stacy JonesR+51.7